Friday 7 October 2011

Clichéd it may be, but this one really is too close to call

Ireland v Wales, Saturday 8th October 6am BST

In many ways, it is a pity that the two sides who have demonstrated the rugby that they have are forced to meet in the quarterfinals.

So it is that for an increasing number of commentators, Wales’ clash with Ireland in Wellington in the early hours of Saturday morning (European time) could easily also decide one of the finalists of the 2011 Rugby World Cup.


The reasoning behind that is fairly straightforward – the winner will face whoever emerges triumphant from the England-France match. With both those teams in different degrees of disarray, if not chaos, we might well witness the first Celtic nation ever to reach the last two of the cup.

Not that the Irish or Welsh teams are yet looking that far ahead. They will be fully aware that the form that they have both shown so far at this tournament will serve only to ratchet up the pressure.

For Ireland, many stalwarts of the last decade – most notably Paul O’Connell, Brian O’Driscoll and Ronan O’Gara – must take this chance if they are ever to have success at a World Cup. The Irish have traditionally fared badly at World Cups, and have never reached the semi-finals. This is as good a chance as they have ever had.


Warren Gatland’s Wales, meanwhile, are under the pressure of an expectant nation. The Western Mail this morning is an indicator of the emotional energy expended on the national team by those in the Principality: “

One of these two fine teams will be feeling bitter and disappointed in twelve short hours time. The other will almost certainly be deliriously happy, albeit with a recognition that focus is key in the next stage of their quest to reach the Eden Park final on 23rd October.

Such is knockout sport. The stage is set for the clash of two sides that are the cream of the northern hemisphere crop. Ireland’s physicality and experience versus Wales’ fitness and creativity.

It is a bold pundit who predicts the result with any real confidence. Indeed, many have condensed their analysis simply to further increasing the hype, talking of the titanic battle in the back rows, the need for Ireland to smother the Welsh attempts at ball carrying, the importance of Ronan O’Gara’s tactical game.

Fans on both sides of the Irish Sea will be rising before the sun in order to watch their side, with apprehension available in greater quantity than confidence. But anticipation prevails throughout the rugby world, as two sides who know each other well, who have had very little separate them in recent years and who are both in fine form lock horns.

Ireland will want revenge for the match they lost in Cardiff earlier this year when a Mike Phillips try was awarded despite stemming from a wrongly-taken quick lineout. Wales will be unfazed by that, and – as usual – will relish their underdog tags, however marginal that is.

Ladbrokes make the Irish two point favourites. It really will be that close. And I am going to shun the opportunity to predict it – although my head and my heart are not necessarily on the same wavelength.


Other quarterfinal predictions:

England 27-13 France
Australia 24-19 South Africa
New Zealand 34-8 Argentina

2 comments:

  1. Huw - this is when the best clichés come into their own! It really is close this one, eh. And that is what makes it sop epic.

    Crazy to think that last year, say, when the draw came out people in Wellington were a little miffed at not getting a semi-final ... fast-forward and we have two absolutely tournament defining quarters, with two pairs of team equally capable and all on good form.

    So take that Auckland!

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  2. What a game. From a Welsh perspective, that was a truly incredible performance.

    Interesting what you say about Wellington. Personally I enjoyed Wellington much more than Auckland - after Christchurch's sad inability to host, do you think it could have perhaps had one of Auckland's semis?

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